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Thread: The Sports Betting Thread

  1. #1
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    The Sports Betting Thread

    Last edited by Fro; September 27th, 2015 at 7:48 PM.

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    Drink Champion Clive Plasma's Avatar
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    There was a few threads of this made when I first started on here, can't be arsed to find them.

    But yeah, I bet occasionally. I made about £500 last year from Skybet when they did their "bet £5 get £5" offer. Now they've changed it to "Bet £50 get £5". Not quite as enticing.

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    I bet football every week these days. Just lost 100 bucks on the Miami v. Bills game and I am going to run through and make my Sunday bets later today.

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    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    Btw are you guys using a website or do you have a real bookie? I'm on 5dimes now.

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    Drink Champion Clive Plasma's Avatar
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    Website. It's legal in the UK. Can't move for it. You can gamble on pretty much anything.
    Last edited by Clive Plasma; November 15th, 2014 at 1:39 PM.

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    I got this mad idea of making a tenner every day by starting with pennies and betting on several in-play favourites per day. It was just like the Weakest Link, as soon as I got to 10 on the first day I banked, same with the second day but then some 1/4 tennis player got beat when I was within grasp of my third tenner and it put me off a bit.

    Started again today with 30 odd pence on England at 4/9.

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    I just use bovada.

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    I'll post my bets for tomorrown once I place them.

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    Intercontinental Champion CWE's Avatar
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    I run football pots at work where you pick every game one week with no spreads. It's $10 to enter and the pot every week this season has been $1500. I am up about $2600 this year...so yeah.

  10. #10
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    Well that was easy money. 1 for 1.

    Not sure who I like tomorrow night. I want to take the Steelers but their loss against the Jets is disturbing. I might leave the Pats as my sole bet this week. I tend to bet on Boston teams the most but it's not because I'm a homer (I try hard not to be with my bets) it's just because I follow them so much more closely so I'm more informed and therefore better with my picks. I know other people who never bet their home team for fear of the jinx. Morons.

  11. #11
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    Damn I saw the Steelers at something around -5 this morning and was on the fence and now they've jumped to -7.5. Kicking myself for not getting in. I still like the Steelers to cover though so I'm gonna play it.

    Fro's Pick #2:
    Steelers -7.5 (+115) $20 to win $23

  12. #12
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    Fucking Steelers...

    Fro's Pick #3:
    Patriots -7.5 +110 vs Lions: $20 to win $22

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    Nerd Pervert Gary J's Avatar
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    For this week's NFL games i've gone with

    Browns +3 vs Falcons - I have been impressed with Cleveland this season. Atlanta have only beaten Tampa Bay (twice) , Carolina (maybe the worst team in the nfl) and the saints due to a Colston fumble.

    Lions +7 vs Patriots - I see the Patriots saving themselves for Green Bay I also think Detroit are being underrated here.

    Vikings +10 vs Packers - I think the Packers will be looking ahead to New England the following week. This is Minnesota's Super Bowl and the Vikings aren't as bad as everyone thinks they are.

    Colts -14 vs Jaguars - The Colts will get back into form by slaughtering Jacksonville. Luck usually destroys them.

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    Knicks +3 tonight. Hitting that up.

    Well glad I only made a small wager on this.
    Last edited by Kneeneighbor; November 19th, 2014 at 11:08 PM.

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    Nerd Pervert Gary J's Avatar
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    Fucking Patriots still the rest the came off so won a fair bit today.

  16. #16
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gary J View Post
    Fucking Patriots still the rest the came off so won a fair bit today.
    Picking against the Patriots at home

    Fro's Pick #4:
    11/23/2014 8:30 PM NFL Football Dallas Cowboys -4½ -110 vs New York Giants
    Risking $20.00 To Win $18.18

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    Nerd Pervert Gary J's Avatar
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    I know I know I just couldn't not go for the Lions as I really felt The Patriots would be saving themselves for Green Bay and that the Lions are one of the better teams in the NFL.

    I have also took the Cowboys bet. I have also put money on the Saints -3 on the Ravens.

  18. #18
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    I fucking dare Vegas to make the Patriots underdogs next week @GB. Go ahead, do it.

  19. #19
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    And yeah I like the Cowboys giving 4.5 tonight. I think they'll run right over the Giants.

    I'm leaning the other way on MNF though. I like Baltimore as 3 point dogs. Saints have been ass of late but at home they could get it together. Will think on it.
    Last edited by Fro; November 23rd, 2014 at 8:21 PM.

  20. #20
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    I should stick to picking the Patriots, I suck at picking other games lol. Looks like I'll be right about the Ravens but I didn't put my money where my mouth was.

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    Nerd Pervert Gary J's Avatar
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    This weeks NFL Bets

    Detroit (-7.0)
    Washington (+10.0)
    San Diego (+5.5)
    Arizona (-2.5)
    New England (+3.0)
    Kansas City (+1.5)

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    Nerd Pervert Gary J's Avatar
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    Yay Detroit

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    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    Will definitely be taking the Patriots on the moneyline though I think it'll be a good game

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    Nerd Pervert Gary J's Avatar
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    Yeah I think the Patriots will win anyway giving them a 3 point start is like free money.

  25. #25
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    Fro's Picks #5 and #6:
    New England +140 (@GB): $20 to win $28
    Cincinnati -3.5 +100 (@TB): $20 to win $20

    I also kinda like Miami -7 on Monday night at NYJ.

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    Nerd Pervert Gary J's Avatar
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    Stuck some money on Chicago tonight as it's December and the Cowboys are stuck on eight wins. Plus Dallas have been shit recently, losing to Washington, barely beating the awful Giants and then getting blown out versus Philadelphia. Aside from a victory over the hapless Jaguars they have done fuck all lately.

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    Nerd Pervert Gary J's Avatar
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    With the picks I've made lately I should probably just give up now.

  28. #28
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    Yeah I'm struggling at the moment as well but I will continue to roll with the Patriots who always do well after a loss.

    My next picks:
    Patriots -4 -110 (@SD): $20 to win $18.18
    Colts -3.5 (@CLE): $20 to win $20

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    Nerd Pervert Gary J's Avatar
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    I've not learnt my lesson this weeks picks.

    Ravens +2.5
    Steelers +3
    Buccaneers +10
    Cardinals +1
    Raiders +8.5

  30. #30
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    you gotta jump on the Patriots bro. my personal guarantee they will cover. and btw I know they burned you last week but if they would have made that 40 yard field goal with 2 minutes left, they would have and should have covered. that was a tough beat. although I had them on the moneyline anyway so it didn't matter for me

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    Nerd Pervert Gary J's Avatar
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    I don't know I think the Patriots will beat the Chargers but I'm not entirely convinced. I'm basing this on Rivers actually looked decent again against the Ravens and I can see Ryan Matthews causing a few problems.

  32. #32
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    Told you to take the Pats

    My next two picks

    Patriots -7.5 -110 (vs MIA): $20 to win $18.18
    Tampa Bay +3 (vs CAR): $20 to win $20

  33. #33
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    If I only bet on the Patriots I would be so rich. I'm hitting about .800 on Pats picks and .200 on other teams.

  34. #34
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    Woooo TB lost by 2 and covered so I went 2 for 2. Through 10 bets I am 5-5

    Fro's Picks
    1. 11/16/2014 Patriots +135 (at Colts): $20 to win $27
    Result: Won


    2. 11/17/14 Steelers -7.5 +115 (at Titans): $20 to win $23
    Result: Lost


    3. 11/23/14 Patriots -7.5 +110 (vs Lions): $20 to win $22
    Result: Won


    4. 11/23/14 Cowboys -4.5 -110 (at Giants): $20 to win $18.18
    Result: Lost


    5. 11/30/14 Patriots +140 (at Packers): $20 to win $28
    Result: Lost


    6. 11/30/14 Bengals -3.5 +100 (@TB): $20 to win $20
    Result: Lost


    7. 12/7/14 Patriots -4 -110 (@SD): $20 to win $18.18
    Result: Won


    8. 12/7/14 Colts -3.5 (@CLE): $20 to win $20
    Result: Lost


    9. 12/14/14 Patriots -7.5 -110 (vs MIA): $20 to win $18.18
    Result: Won


    10. 12/14/14 Tampa Bay +3 (@ CAR): $20 to win $20
    Result: Won


    Starting Bank: $100
    Current Bank: $105.36


    So basically dead even (5.36% gains to be precise). I guess it's yet to be determined if I have a future in sports picks. Clearly though, everyone should be betting on the Patriots weekly.

  35. #35
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    Taking the Steelers -3 tonight

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    Quote Originally Posted by Fro View Post
    Woooo TB lost by 2 and covered so I went 2 for 2. Through 10 bets I am 5-5

    Fro's Picks
    1. 11/16/2014 Patriots +135 (at Colts): $20 to win $27
    Result: Won


    2. 11/17/14 Steelers -7.5 +115 (at Titans): $20 to win $23
    Result: Lost


    3. 11/23/14 Patriots -7.5 +110 (vs Lions): $20 to win $22
    Result: Won


    4. 11/23/14 Cowboys -4.5 -110 (at Giants): $20 to win $18.18
    Result: Lost


    5. 11/30/14 Patriots +140 (at Packers): $20 to win $28
    Result: Lost


    6. 11/30/14 Bengals -3.5 +100 (@TB): $20 to win $20
    Result: Lost


    7. 12/7/14 Patriots -4 -110 (@SD): $20 to win $18.18
    Result: Won


    8. 12/7/14 Colts -3.5 (@CLE): $20 to win $20
    Result: Lost


    9. 12/14/14 Patriots -7.5 -110 (vs MIA): $20 to win $18.18
    Result: Won


    10. 12/14/14 Tampa Bay +3 (@ CAR): $20 to win $20
    Result: Won


    Starting Bank: $100
    Current Bank: $105.36


    So basically dead even (5.36% gains to be precise). I guess it's yet to be determined if I have a future in sports picks. Clearly though, everyone should be betting on the Patriots weekly.
    Where are you betting that you are able to bet on the spread and the house isn't taking a cut.

  37. #37
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kneeneighbor View Post
    Where are you betting that you are able to bet on the spread and the house isn't taking a cut.
    I use 5dimes. They make their cut with their payout adjustments. For example the spread is 3 tonight so you can take the Steelers -3 or the Bengals +3 but if you take either of those bets you don't double your money, you get slightly less than that. Doubling your money would be a pure +100 bet but in this case the spreads look like this:

    Steelers -3 (-110)
    Bengals +3 (-110)

    -110 means you bet 110 to win 100. So if the betting is even the house makes money either way since they are paying out less than double to the winners. This is how all online sportsbooks I've used work.

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    I guess I'm confused when I look at number 10. It says bet $20 to win $20. The places I've bet before I don't think I've ever seen that when betting the spread.


    When ever I've seen the spread you are getting that -110.

  39. #39
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    It varies but the house always gets some advantage. -110 for both picks would be the standard spread pick but they make it weird sometimes. That particular bet probably looked something like this:

    Tampa Bay +3 (+100)
    Carolina -3 (-120).

    Why do they do this for regular spread picks? I don't know but I guess hey have their formulas and reasoning.

    Frequently the site also allows you to slightly adjust the spread yourself so you could switch +3 to +2.5 and your payout would increase accordingly. That could look something like:

    Tampa Bay +2.5 (+120)
    Carolina -2.5 (-140)

    So there are a lot of ways the house can tweak it or you yourself can tweak it but the house always gives themselves an edge in some way

    EDIT: Steelers covered.
    Last edited by Fro; December 29th, 2014 at 12:29 AM.

  40. #40
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    Florida State +8

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    Quote Originally Posted by Fro View Post
    Florida State +8
    Stick to Patriots games. :-)

  42. #42
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kneeneighbor View Post
    Stick to Patriots games. :-)
    That's good advice but I'm going to lean into this

    Cash money on OREGON -7.5

  43. #43
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    If they cover I'll win back my losses from Florida State choking

  44. #44
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fro View Post
    That's good advice but I'm going to lean into this

    Cash money on OREGON -7.5
    It's dropped to -7 now. No hook. Even better.

    The over/under is currently at 75. I am torn on it.

  45. #45
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    Mmmkay not my best bet on Oregon there.

    I tend to stay away from the NFL Playoffs. The NFL regular season is really my bread and butter and the playoffs get a little tough to call. HOWEVER.... I cannot resist the Patriots -7 at home against the Colts. I don't think they'll blow them out (though it's very possible) but I think they win by more than 1 score.

    LETS GET IT


  46. #46
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    That was what they call easy money

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    Green Bay covered so that was a win for me. Then I hit the coverall in Bingo this weekend at the bar so that netted another $300!

  48. #48
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    this is the off-season for me for betting but I threw a couple fliers down:

    Wold Series winner - Boston Red Sox +1600 (they have a monster lineup and if they're in it at the break they can trade for an ace)
    NBA Finals matchup - Cleveland Cavaliers vs Dallas Mavericks +1895 (I dunno, I like the Mavs as a undervalued team. Rondo hasn't been good but I think he'll gel by playoff time)

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    Tonight I have Kentucky on the money line and S. Illinois +12.5

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    I have Louisville -2.5 today at The Orange.

  51. #51
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    Went in on the Cavs -7.5 tonight. Kyrie is playing and it's in Cleveland. I like that spread.

  52. #52
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    Golden State -6 tonight is where it's at my dudes

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    Cavs will steal game one.

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    Have put money on Denver (+3) tonight.

    This weekend i'll probably go

    Indianapolis (-7) , Dallas (+5.5) , Arizona (-2) , Seattle (+4) and Buffalo (+2)

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    I killed it on Sunday.

    Not sure about tonight. Will have to think about it some more.

    My heart says Denver +3, but my brain says Chiefs.

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    I can't believe the spread has even given Denver the +3. Just because everyone thinks Manning is done, maybe he is physically but he is still the smartest quarterback in the NFL. He'll be able to solve Kansas City's defense, as he always has. Plus I think Denver are a far better team then Kansas.

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    Just seen your tweet Gary, I'm going to do that Denver one.

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    Colts? Or Jets +7?

  59. #59
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    Jets and the points

  60. #60
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    St Louis (+3) San Diego (+2) Indianapolis (-3) Dallas (+3) Buffalo (+3) Denver (-3) are this weeks NFL Bets for me.

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    Bloody got in after games kicked off, didn't manage to put any on.

  62. #62
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    It's ok most of them are fucked anyway. I might just give up

  63. #63
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    I like Denver -3 tonight, as well. Only reason I haven't taken it (yet) is because I kinda want to root for Detroit tonight

    edit: nvm I did take them. I realized I have Denver defense going in one of my cash leagues anyway, in a close match. Go Broncos!
    Last edited by Fro; September 27th, 2015 at 7:45 PM.

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    Predictions for Steelers/Ravens?

    Surprised the line is so low when Vick is at QB.

    Guy has shown the last 2 years that he is a turnover machine.

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    Yeah I have put a fiver on Baltimore (-3) it's against my better judgement as I've been fucked over by stand in QB's doing a good job before but with the short time Pittsburgh have had to prepare without Big Ben I feel confident this won't be the case here.


    As for the weekend games I like the look of

    Miami +2 , Texans +6.5 , Carolina -3 , Giants +5.5 , Washington +3 , Kansas City +4 , Cleveland +7.5 , Minnesota +6.5

  66. #66
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    Call me crazy but I like the steelers +3 tonight

    Actually even like them on the moneyline

  67. #67
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    I'm in on the following for tomorrow:

    Arizona (-7.5) vs St. Louis
    Green Bay (-8) vs San Fran
    Atlanta (-5.5) vs Houston
    Oakland (-3) vs Chicago

    I guess you could say I like the favorites to pull away from the scrubs.

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    Like a lot of underdogs this week. Too many road favorites.

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    Gone with Miami (+2) Redskins (+7) Green Bay (-10) and Indianapolis (+10) for this weekends games.

  70. #70
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    I got in early in the week at New England -7.5. Winning money shouldn't be this easy

  71. #71
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    It's crazy how much that line changed.

  72. #72
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    Anyone got anything tomorrow?

    I took Seattle +10(+7 teaser) with Denver -2(+7 teaser)

    $40 to win $30.77

    Free money boys. Come along for the ride.

  73. #73
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    I won with Pats -5 vs KC and I think Pats -3 at Denver is a steal too.

  74. #74
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    I took Carolina and NE and teased it again. Both teams wind up +3. Put $100 down this time.

  75. #75
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    Any of you guys doing FanDuel or DraftKings?

    Ive been playing every day and have been crushing the last few weeks. Lots of fun.

  76. #76
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    I don't, nor do I have much interest in it. Isn't that shit fixed anyway? I mean not only with the employee thing but with guys who pay in for like 100 different strategically distributed lineups for the big tourneys. Or do you play smaller groups? I'm not sure how it works.

  77. #77
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    All aboard the Panthers train


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    I lost my bet on the Pats last night

    Doubled up on the Panthers

    Already took the Panthers Moneyline for the Superbowl, assuming the Public will jump on them more making the line even more juiced up

    I usually don't like taking the moneyline on favorites, but now residing in Charlotte, all the buzz and excitement in the city is making me a homer.

    Pretty crazy over here right now. I work across the street from the stadium. We see Cam Newton hoverboarding around all the time. I was going to Panthers games a few years ago and recall fans walking out of the arena saying "I wish the Panthers were good" and now they look world class

    Quite a few of the people I work have Panthers season tickets and are going nuts wondering how the allocation of Super Bowl tickets amongst PSL holders are going to be distributed
    Last edited by Spedizzo; January 25th, 2016 at 4:32 PM.

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    4.5 seems like a tiny spread.

  80. #80
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    It really makes no sense. Does America love betting on Manning that much?

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    America loves offense and under estimates what a good defense can do. They look at 4.5 and see easy money and that is how Vegas makes money.

  82. #82
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    Watching every Panthers game this year, I am not sold on the Panthers offense like the rest of the nation may be. I am also not buying into Cam Newton. I think Cam Newton overthrows a lot, makes questionable throws, and puts himself in a lot of positions where he can get hurt. Sure he is a bigger guy, but one of these days he is going to get tackled after a first down that he ran for and not get up. He is still young so the wear and tear hasn't destroyed him yet

    The Panthers put up a lot of points, but it is mostly because of the turnovers that their defense creates

    So your point about America seeing 4.5 and seeing easy money has me scratching my head, because the Panthers defense is just as dangerous, if not moreso, than the Broncos defense... especially against a timid Peyton Manning led offense

    Anything can happen, but this game has the makings of Seattle vs. Denver from 2 years ago

    The only thing I am nervous about in taking the Panthers is how thin they are at defensive depth. They have a lot of injuries, especially in their secondary. Their wide receiver core is nothing to write home about... so if Cam and company turns it over a couple times, it can be an extremely close game
    Last edited by Spedizzo; January 26th, 2016 at 12:35 PM.

  83. #83
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    Villanova +2

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    So I have been making my NFL picks every week and I have been on fire. Been hitting 10-12 games per week. I'm going to start posting my weekly picks in here in case any of you clowns are into the gambles. My system is for betting every game, so don't use 1 of my picks and get mad if it doesn't hit.

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    I hope you took Miami + the points last week.

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    Right so my phone died where I have my picks I'll post my week seven in a couple hoursRight so my phone died where I have my pics. I'll post my week seven in a couple hours as well as my week six results.

  87. #87
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    I haven't been betting lately because I put all of the money in my sportsbook account on Patriots over 10.5 wins before the season started (possibly the easiest over/under win total ever conceived). Been meaning to deposit more cash in my account but haven't done it. But perhaps I will do so and roll with your picks.

    Side note my existing money is in 5dimes but I've been thinking about switching to BetDSI. GBF do you have a personal bookie or what site do you use

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    I just use bovada.

  90. #90
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    Lots of away favorites this week. This is a great week to bet the opening lines.

  91. #91
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    Are the patriots really only 2 point favorites? With Ben out that seems too good to be true.

    Edit: checked and my book has them at -7. Not sure if that's a typo or you just got in before the Ben surgery news
    Last edited by Fro; October 18th, 2016 at 3:45 PM.

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    Game is at Pittsburgh with the Steelers getting 7 points. A whole week of adjustments. The third best team in the AFC when healthy, at home, with adjustments; I will take Steelers and the points.

  93. #93
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    By the way, the Saints/Chiefs game and the Atlanta/San Diego game both have O/U of 50 or higher. I would be investing big in DFS in those 2 games. Matt Ryan-Julio Jones-Devonta Freeman stack could be big points this week. Kansas City defends an opposing teams #1 WR very well, but struggles against the #2. I could see Brees and Snead connecting for over a buck and 1 TD in this game. Mike Evans should see a ton of work this week, with DeAndre Hopkins putting up a 4th straight bust. Chris Conley for KC is a big sleeper this week. You also couldn't go wrong with a combination of Rivers-Benjamin-Williams.

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    The line opened prior to the Big Ben news. I still take the patriots -7 pretty easily.

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    The one line that scares me is Green Bay.

  96. #96
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    I only did one bet today. 4 team moneyline parlay: Patriots, Saints, Falcons and Cowboys. 2 down 2 to go.

  97. #97
    1-800-Call-My-Bluff Fro's Avatar
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    The juices are flowing again after that parlay win which paid out roughly 7 to 1.

    In on Vikings -5 tonight at Chicago.
    Last edited by Fro; October 31st, 2016 at 9:36 AM.

  98. #98
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    Saints -3 only action I'm taking today (so far)

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    That game scares me. I'd be tempted to get Vikings +3

  100. #100
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    3 bets for tomorrow, let's see how I do:

    Steelers -8 (@ CLE)
    Cardinals +2.5 (@ MIN)
    3 team moneyline parlay: Steelers, Patriots & Seahawks (pays out even)

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