-
October 12th, 2022, 5:34 AM
#13501
Jones did so much, so young that he probably has the toughest career to assess. Like if he was 5 years older, we'd no doubt consider it a hugely successful career. But it feels like he's left a lot on the table because of how much he got done in his 20's. I guess COVID didn't help as you need a Jones HW title fight in front of a full crowd, but we're 18 months past that now. And Ngannou's contract expires at the end of the year supposedly. So, given the events just mentioned, it's a real possibility that the vacant heavyweight title will be decided in a fight between a guy who's been out 2 years and a guy who's been out 3. Then, turnarounds being turnarounds, the winner facing the stripped champion who'll be coming off a near 2 year absence himself. Heavyweight has been ridiculous for going on a decade, Stipe's first reign not withstanding:
- Cain's streak of rematches (JDS 2, Bigfoot 2, JDS 3) followed by injury and an interim title for Werdum.
- Werdum unifies, sits out for 11 months, Miocic knocks him out in a round.
- Miocic has a normal reign, defending not overly regularly mind you but gets 3 in a row.
- Cormier knocks him out. Defends on 3 weeks notice against Black Beast. Loses rematch to Miocic. Both shelved for a year (again, partly COVID) before completing trilogy.
- Ngannou knocks out Miocic. For some reason (given it would be a super quick turnaround for heavyweight standards), they install an interim title 5 months after, which Gane wins.
- Ngannou unifies, then declares he'll sit out until given a new contract.
Crazy when you consider that time period encompasses the entirety of the history of the women's 135lb title - no champions stripped, no interim titles, and long breaks between fights only due to TUF and the champion winning and defending another title.
-
October 14th, 2022, 6:19 AM
#13502
Any thoughts on the card next week? Pretty fucking deep all being told.
Do Bronx vs. Makhachev is, I think, the biggest combined UFC win streak matchup in history. Charles with 11, Islam with 10. 15 finishes out of 21 there too. Just a great fight. Charles is more tested at the top level but Islam has been running through fringe top 15 guys. Truth be told though his win streak is surely the lowest level long streak we've seen - hardly RDA, prime Barboza, Pettis etc is it. Hoping Charles wins but Islam does look imperious and likely pulls off the Khabib game plan to earn a sub in the championship rounds.
Sterling vs. Dillashaw is the TJ legacy fight. Goes from great to an all time great with a win here. Would have to put him near that Aldo level to be honest. 13-2 in his last 15 at bantamweight, only losing by disputed split decisions, one avenged clearly. The Barao and Gardbrandt destructions have lost their luster due to the form of both men since, but that's largely due to TJ kicking their shit in. It's also massive for Sterling, who's reign has been underwhelming with how he won it and the tight (and somewhat dull) rematch with Yan. So he can really get rolling with a win here. I think Sterling does enough in the scrambles to win a tight one again, but I think it'll be a barnburner.
Yan vs. O'Malley. MASSIVE risk/reward on this one. If Yan and Sterling win you pretty much freeze the contenders out while damaging one of your fast growing stars. O'Malley wins and you strap the rocket strip to him. Common sense, retrospectively, would have been to do Sugar vs. Aldo and Yan vs. Merab. Risk/reward for the former fight would have been far more favourable. I'm not their accountant though. I don't rate O'Malley that highly so think Yan puts a beating on him, but who knows? He has had time to improve. But Yan by stoppage for me.
Gamrot vs. Dariush is a banger. Winner really should be getting a title shot. Particularly Beneil. Been one of my favourites for years, but inactivity has hurt him. Gamrot has been active and picked up some quality wins while looking great himself. It's a pick em but I think Gamrot will be the faster fighter and pulls away late for the points win. It'll be close though, Beneil is the harder hitter so likely has Gamrot in more trouble, but scores less.
Fiorot vs. Chookagian I have no problem with. Chook is boring but is good. Fiorot has an exciting style but is untested. Winner will be on a 5 fight win streak and deserve a title shot, but one of these girls needs to beat Chook or Andrade to seem a threat to Valentina. I think Chook controls the distance and wins a split decision.
Brady vs. Belal, winner goes top 5 you'd say. Usman, Covington, Chimaev, Burns then the winner of this one. Possibly above Burns even on merit. So logic says Edwards vs. Burns 3, Chimaev vs. Covington for the title shot, winner of this one against Burns for next one up. Fair I think. Negative is both are pretty dull and don't have the attributes to be a contender I don't think. But they have to be given a shot if they keep winning, look at guys like Jon Fitch. I think Belal takes it, more tested at the higher level, come through adversity a great deal, and likely better cardio in a high pace fight. Clear enough points win, taking the last 2 rounds.
Krylov vs. Oezdemir another highlight. Volkan I find pretty underrated. Should beat Krylov, but it'll be a bit of a war.
-
October 17th, 2022, 10:06 PM
#13503
I will say this...if O'Malley does the job to Yan it's not going to hurt him if you're a real fan and not one of those that bail as soon as someone loses. O'Malley loses to Yan it's a huge name that he lost to. It probably hurts Yan more if he loses.
-
October 22nd, 2022, 3:18 AM
#13504
Multiversal Champion
- Rep Power
- 116550